Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 0
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 3
ROM
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 0
ROM
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 3
FIO
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
SIE
0 - 0
FIO
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
INT
2 - 0
FIO
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 0
ROM
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |