Roma vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ROM
2 - 1
SAS
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 4
ROM
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 0
TRA
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 1
FIO
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 2
ROM
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CSK
1 - 1
SSO
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CVA
0 - 1
CSK
41%
29%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
CSK
3 - 0
VKP
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CSK
1 - 0
OFK
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
VKP
2 - 0
CSK
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |