Roma vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.1%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.1%
3.4%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VER
0 - 1
ROM
16%
20%
64%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 1
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
ROM
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 2
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 2
NAP
5%
13%
82%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
BEN
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 0
BEN
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 2
SAM
12%
22%
66%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
CHI
22%
28%
49%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |