Coppa Italia Primavera Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Roma U19 vs Inter U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
5 - 0
LAZ
51%
22%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ATA
1 - 0
ROM
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 3
PAL
77%
14%
8%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 3
ROM
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 0
CRO
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Inter U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
INT
3 - 1
ATA
52%
24%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 2
INT
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
INT
4 - 0
FRO
84%
12%
4%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ATA
1 - 2
INT
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
INT
4 - 1
UDI
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |