Roma U18 vs Cesena U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
17º
3º
66
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ASR
3 - 1
ATA
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HEL
1 - 2
ASR
23%
20%
57%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ASR
0 - 1
SAS
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
4 - 2
ASR
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
ASR
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
EMP
2 - 3
CES
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
LEC
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CES
2 - 1
LAZ
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
ATA
3 - 2
CES
44%
21%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
HEL
77%
14%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |