Roma U18 vs Cesena U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
1º
38
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 5
ASR
14%
17%
68%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ASR
4 - 1
EMP
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 3
ASR
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ASR
2 - 0
NAP
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 1
ASR
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CES
0 - 1
EMP
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
CES
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CES
6 - 2
NAP
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 4
CES
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CES
0 - 1
SAS
64%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |