Roma U18 vs AC Monza U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
17º
3º
39
9º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASR
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ASR
2 - 0
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 2
ASR
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ASR
3 - 2
TOR
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 1
ASR
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
AC Monza U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
14%
16%
71%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
EMP
4 - 2
ACM
69%
17%
15%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 3
CES
28%
21%
52%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ACM
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 1
ATA
22%
19%
58%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |