Serie AB Sub 16 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Roma U16 vs MIlan U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 3
ROM
8%
14%
79%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ROM
4 - 1
INT
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
INT
0 - 3
ROM
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ROM
5 - 2
SPZ
92%
6%
2%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LZO
0 - 4
ROM
4%
11%
85%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
MIlan U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 3
ROM
8%
14%
79%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MIL
4 - 0
EMP
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
EMP
0 - 1
MIL
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MIL
5 - 0
UDN
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 3
UDN
47%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |