Roma CF vs Union Deportiva Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
RCF
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RCF
1 - 1
ARG
32%
24%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
5 - 0
RCF
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RCF
1 - 2
ARG
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CMP
1 - 1
RCF
74%
17%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
CIU
50%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
8 - 0
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
UNI
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 4
SAR
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 1
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |