Roma Apucarana vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
CIA
4 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 1
UBA
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 2
ROM
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +2 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
COT
1 - 0
CAM
84%
13%
4%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CIA
1 - 1
COT
12%
22%
66%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
COT
2 - 1
ENG
84%
13%
3%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CRI
3 - 3
COT
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
GOI
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |