Roma Apucarana vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 2
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 1
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
ARA
35%
25%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
COT
5 - 0
ROM
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACP
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAM
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
3 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
ATP
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
5 - 0
OPE
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
LON
3 - 0
ATP
16%
22%
62%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -1 |