Roma Apucarana vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
78.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
JMA
3 - 1
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 0
LON
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 0
ROM
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 2
IRA
33%
24%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
IGU
2 - 0
ROM
21%
22%
58%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | -2 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 2
COT
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ACP
2 - 1
ATP
8%
15%
78%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
ATP
5 - 1
NPR
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 39 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
LON
3 - 3
ATP
9%
16%
75%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CCR
4 - 3
ATP
6%
14%
80%
|
83 | 39 | 44 | 0 |