Roma Apucarana vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
ROM
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 2
IRA
49%
24%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 2
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
3 - 2
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 0
TCW
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
TCW
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACP
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
CIA
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 0
IRA
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |