Roma Apucarana vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
CAN
0 - 0
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
ROM
3 - 1
CAN
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
ACP
1 - 4
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 0
CHA
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
COT
7 - 2
ROM
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
ACP
1 - 1
CHA
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 0
ACP
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
ACP
1 - 4
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 1
ACP
49%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACP
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |