Roffey vs Midhurst & Easebourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
86%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.3%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roffey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 2
ALF
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
STC
2 - 1
RFC
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 3
BEX
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 6
NEW
4%
11%
85%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HAS
7 - 0
RFC
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Midhurst & Easebourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 4
MEF
7%
13%
79%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MEF
3 - 2
CRO
59%
19%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
MEF
0 - 1
LIN
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MEF
0 - 6
CHA
21%
20%
58%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
LOX
0 - 2
MEF
11%
16%
74%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |