Roffey vs Varndeanians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
77%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roffey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LAN
4 - 0
RFC
79%
13%
7%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
LOX
3 - 0
RFC
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 3
TOW
4%
10%
86%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 5
DOR
4%
10%
87%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
HYT
26%
21%
54%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AUC
4 - 0
VAR
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
STC
0 - 0
VAR
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
SAL
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BRO
3 - 0
VAR
60%
20%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |