La Roda CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
ROD
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 1
ECI
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 6
GRA
14%
23%
63%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 0
BET
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 2
ROD
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAR
37%
29%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 2
LUC
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 2
LUC
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
LUC
23%
26%
52%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 0
LUC
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |