La Roda CF vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
ROD
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 0
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ECI
2 - 0
ROD
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 0
ROD
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 4
CAD
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 0
CAR
32%
30%
39%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SEV
2 - 1
LOR
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
GRA
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 0
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
5 - 1
LOR
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |