Roda JC vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
RJC
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
RJC
0 - 4
FEY
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
RJC
0 - 2
AZA
28%
24%
48%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 3
RJC
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
RJC
2 - 2
SCH
30%
26%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
RJC
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
VOL
2 - 2
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRA
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 0
FEY
24%
23%
54%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |