Roda JC vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 2
RJC
72%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
70%
18%
11%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 0
TWE
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 4
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 0
RJC
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 0
WIL
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
TWE
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |