Roda JC vs Heracles analysis

Roda JC Heracles
65 ELO 74
17.4% Tilt 16.8%
780º General ELO ranking 379º
26º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
31.9%
Roda JC
25.6%
Draw
42.4%
Heracles

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
Roda JC
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.5%
Win probability
Heracles
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roda JC
-14%
-4%
Heracles

Points and table prediction

Roda JC
Their league position
Heracles
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
16º
15º
85
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Heracles
85
85
0%
PEC Zwolle
85
85
0%
Almere City
70
70
100%
Willem II
68
68
100%
MVV Maastricht
59
59
100%
NAC Breda
59
59
100%
VVV Venlo
58
58
0%
FC Eindhoven
58
58
0%
SC Telstar
53
53
100%
De Graafschap
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Jong AZ
11º
51
51
11º
0%
ADO Den Haag
12º
51
51
12º
0%
Jong Ajax
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Jong PSV
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Roda JC
15º
43
43
15º
0%
Helmond Sport
16º
43
43
16º
0%
TOP Oss
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Dordrecht
18º
35
35
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Roda JC
Heracles
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Roda JC
Heracles
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2022
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
39%
25%
35%
65 65 0 0
12 Nov. 2022
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 1
Helmond Sport
HEL
80%
14%
7%
66 49 17 -1
07 Nov. 2022
ALK
Jong AZ
2 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
27%
24%
49%
66 58 8 0
28 Oct. 2022
RJC
Roda JC
4 - 1
Jong Utrecht
JUT
78%
15%
7%
66 50 16 0
21 Oct. 2022
FCO
TOP Oss
3 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
15%
21%
64%
68 54 14 -2

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2022
BVO
Cambuur
1 - 1
Heracles
HER
42%
24%
34%
73 71 2 0
19 Nov. 2022
HER
Heracles
3 - 0
TOP Oss
FCO
77%
16%
7%
73 54 19 0
11 Nov. 2022
HER
Heracles
5 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
48%
25%
27%
72 69 3 +1
04 Nov. 2022
WIL
Willem II
1 - 2
Heracles
HER
31%
27%
42%
72 68 4 0
28 Oct. 2022
ALM
Almere City
3 - 2
Heracles
HER
21%
25%
54%
73 62 11 -1