Roda JC vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
RJC
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 3
RJC
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RJC
2 - 0
AZA
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
ADO
3 - 3
RJC
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 4
VVV
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRA
78%
16%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRA
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 2
SCH
16%
21%
62%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 0
GRA
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |