Roda JC vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FEY
1 - 1
RJC
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
RKC
1 - 0
RJC
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 0
SCH
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 0
RJC
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 4
AZA
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 2
AZA
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 0
NEC
53%
25%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
FEY
2 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |