Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NEC
2 - 0
RJC
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RJC
0 - 2
FEY
15%
22%
63%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
RJC
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 0
UTR
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 0
RJC
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 3
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 2
NEC
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 1
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |