Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VVV
2 - 0
RJC
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 2
RJC
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RJC
3 - 1
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 2
RJC
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RJC
1 - 2
SCH
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
SCH
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
AZA
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
ADO
30%
25%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 0
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |