Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 2
RJC
16%
20%
63%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 0
RJC
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 3
FEY
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VVV
3 - 5
RJC
34%
27%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 2
VVV
47%
23%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 3
GRO
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 5
SCH
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
EXC
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VVV
3 - 1
EXC
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |