Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
RJC
0 - 1
GRO
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
RKC
3 - 2
RJC
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
RJC
0 - 0
UTR
54%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FEY
1 - 1
RJC
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
RKC
1 - 0
RJC
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 1
ADO
59%
21%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 3
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |