Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RJC
1 - 1
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 1
RJC
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
RJC
2 - 1
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 4
RJC
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
RJC
2 - 3
VIT
56%
24%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
APE
3 - 2
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
TEL
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
BVV
2 - 3
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 3
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
VVV
2 - 0
EXC
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |