Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
BOS
1 - 1
RJC
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
NEC
2 - 3
RJC
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
RJC
1 - 2
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 2
RJC
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 3
PSV
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 2
UTR
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
WIL
3 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
EXC
1 - 4
AZA
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |