Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 2
RJC
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
RJC
2 - 0
HFC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1983 |
AJA
3 - 1
RJC
86%
9%
5%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
RJC
2 - 0
GAE
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
RJC
1 - 0
AZA
26%
24%
50%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 1
ZWO
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
TWE
0 - 2
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
64%
23%
14%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
PSV
4 - 3
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
EXC
2 - 0
SPA
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |