Roda'46 vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda'46
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ZUI
4 - 1
ROD
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ROD
1 - 4
YBO
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DBE
1 - 0
ROD
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ROD
3 - 2
SPO
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GEI
5 - 1
ROD
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SWI
0 - 0
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SWI
4 - 1
ZUI
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
YBO
1 - 0
SWI
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SWI
1 - 0
DBE
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
SWI
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |