Rochdale vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
ROC
3 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
DAG
1 - 1
ROC
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
ROC
4 - 2
NOT
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ROC
3 - 1
GRI
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
ROC
2 - 1
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
CHE
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
STF
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MOR
5 - 1
ROT
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
DAR
2 - 2
MOR
55%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |