Rocha FC vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 0
ROC
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ATE
1 - 0
ROC
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 2
DEP
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 2
CEN
20%
25%
56%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CSM
2 - 1
ROC
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
SUD
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
SUD
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 2
CSM
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SUD
0 - 1
PRO
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 1
SUD
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |