Rocha FC vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ROC
4 - 0
JUV
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ATE
2 - 1
ROC
62%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CEL
3 - 0
ROC
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
HFC
1 - 2
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ROC
1 - 1
REN
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
ATE
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SUD
2 - 2
JUV
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
HFC
1 - 1
SUD
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 2
SUD
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SUD
0 - 2
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |