Rocha FC vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
DEP
3 - 5
ROC
42%
25%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
FEN
3 - 0
ROC
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
ATE
1 - 2
ROC
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2008 |
ROC
1 - 2
ATE
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ROC
1 - 4
CEL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SUD
2 - 2
REN
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
HBU
1 - 0
SUD
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
CSC
1 - 1
SUD
76%
17%
8%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
SUD
0 - 1
ETS
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
SUD
1 - 3
CSY
34%
25%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |