Rocha FC vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
ROC
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 1
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 1
CSC
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BVS
4 - 0
ROC
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
ROC
1 - 0
CSM
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 0
SUD
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2007 |
ATE
1 - 0
SUD
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SUD
2 - 1
PLA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SUD
0 - 0
JUV
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
SUD
1 - 1
FEN
30%
26%
45%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |