Rocha FC vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 3
BOS
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ATE
2 - 1
ROC
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
PLA
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
HFC
7 - 2
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 1
CSC
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 3
ORI
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 0
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
PLA
2 - 0
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 3
HFC
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |