Rocha FC vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 0
ROC
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 3
ROC
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ROC
5 - 0
BVS
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
ROC
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 1
CSM
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 0
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CSM
3 - 3
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 2
PLA
77%
15%
7%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
BOS
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 1
PRO
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |