Rocha FC vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 2
CSC
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 0
ROC
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SUD
2 - 0
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 1
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ROC
2 - 4
FEN
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HBU
0 - 2
PRO
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 3
FEN
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 1
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CSM
1 - 0
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
DEP
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |