Rocha FC vs Durazno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SUD
0 - 0
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 3
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
ROC
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 0
PLA
40%
27%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ETS
2 - 0
DUR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 3
BOS
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 3
DUR
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 0
REN
62%
21%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 3
DUR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +2 |