Rocha FC vs Durazno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ROC
2 - 2
LUZ
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 1
ROC
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CSC
1 - 1
ROC
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ROC
1 - 1
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ROC
0 - 1
SUD
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DUR
2 - 2
CSC
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
DUR
3 - 2
ATE
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
REN
0 - 1
DUR
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HBU
1 - 3
DUR
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
DUR
3 - 1
PRO
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |