Rocha FC vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 3
CER
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 2
ALB
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
DAN
1 - 0
ROC
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 0
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
UMO
2 - 1
ROC
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 0
JUN
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
UMO
0 - 2
DEF
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 2
JUV
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |