Rocha FC vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
ROC
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ROC
3 - 0
RIV
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
REN
1 - 1
ROC
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 1
MWA
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
ROC
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 2
MWA
71%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
LFC
2 - 1
DEF
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 1
JUN
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |