Rocester vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ROC
3 - 5
AFC
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
OSS
6 - 1
ROC
73%
16%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ROC
0 - 3
COL
19%
24%
58%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 0
ROC
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
ROC
2 - 4
SPA
37%
25%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
AFC
2 - 0
SHE
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SHE
4 - 2
WAR
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +4 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
SHE
3 - 2
SPA
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
OSS
6 - 0
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SHE
0 - 1
KID
24%
24%
53%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |