Roccella vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
ROC
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 1
ROC
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 2
GEL
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
USC
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 2
GEL
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USC
1 - 2
CAV
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAV
3 - 0
NFR
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 1
CAV
11%
21%
69%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |