Roccella vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
ROC
46%
23%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 0
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
DTO
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
ROC
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 1
CAV
28%
26%
47%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
3 - 1
DTO
74%
16%
9%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
CAV
23%
25%
53%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 1
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |