Roccella vs Orlandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
51.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TBR
1 - 2
ROC
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Orlandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ORL
0 - 0
TOR
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ORL
3 - 2
BAT
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CMU
3 - 0
ORL
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ORL
3 - 0
RAG
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
USV
0 - 0
ORL
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |