Roccella vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 0
ROC
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 4
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
ASD
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 0
ROC
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ROC
3 - 1
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MES
2 - 1
NOC
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 0
MES
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MES
3 - 2
GIU
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MES
2 - 0
PAL
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
MES
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |