Roccella vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
USC
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MES
1 - 0
ROC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 0
ACI
22%
23%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 1
ROC
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 3
MAR
54%
22%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 4
USC
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
ACI
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MES
0 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |