Roccella vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
REN
2 - 1
ROC
47%
25%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 1
VIG
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 0
ROC
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
LEO
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
4 - 0
ROC
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
SAR
23%
24%
54%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
DTO
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOT
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |